PAS Weekly Commentary

Winning week leaves Nasdaq at record high

This buying left the Nasdaq Composite at a fresh all-time high by the end of the week. It was the last major index to reach a new record high in the uptrend that brought the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average to new all-time closing highs earlier this year.

The fact that the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average had already reached fresh record highs this year, and the Nasdaq Composite was approaching its record close coming into the week, contributed to a growing feeling among some participants that stocks are due for a pullback. This notion drove the early lackluster price action as participants waited on market-moving events, including the Fed's preferred measure of inflation on Thursday in the form of PCE Price Indexes.

The Personal Income and Spending Report for January didn't contain any surprises and the PCE Price Indexes were in-line with expectations, showing year-over-year disinflation for the PCE Price Index to 2.4% (from 2.6%) and the core-PCE Price Index to 2.8% (from 2.9%).

This report alone was not the catalyst for the upside moves in the final few sessions of the week and garnered a muted response from investors. Importantly, though, the report did not force the market to rethink its rate-cut view for the year, which acted as a support factor for the market. 

The gains this week were largely driven by mega cap and semiconductor-related stocks, but many other stocks participated in upside moves. Shares of NVIDIA and Meta Platforms, for example, gained 4.4% and 3.7%, respectively. 

Dow component Salesforce was another winning standout after reporting earnings, jumping 8.2% this week.

Small cap stocks also outperformed the broader market, leading the Russell 2000 to gain 3.0%. 

The only S&P 500 sector to lose ground was health care (-1.1%) while the utilities (-0.6%), consumer staples (-0.5%), communication services (-0.3%), and financials (-0.1%) sectors saw relatively slim declines. The information technology sector, which constitutes 30% of the index, gained 2.5%. It was the best performer followed by the real estate (+2.1%) and consumer discretionary (+2.0%) sectors. 

Treasury yields declined this week, acting as added support for the stock market. The 2-yr note yield sank 19 basis points to 4.53% and the 10-yr note yield settled eight basis points lower at 4.18%. This price action followed a disappointing $63 billion 2-yr note auction and the $64 billion 5-yr note sale, and a solid $42 billion 7-yr note offering.

In corporate news, UnitedHealth lost ground on news that the Department of Justice has launched an antitrust investigation into the company, according to The Wall Street Journal. Apple is cancelling efforts to build an electric car and will focus on generative artificial intelligence, according to Bloomberg. Also, New York Community Bancorp acknowledged that it has identified material weaknesses in the company's internal controls related to internal loan review.

  • Nasdaq Composite: +1.7% for the week / +8.4% YTD
  • S&P 500: +1.0% for the week / +7.7% YTD
  • S&P Midcap 400: +1.8% for the week / +4.6% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: -0.1% for the week / +3.7% YTD
  • Russell 2000: +3.0% for the week / +2.4% YTD

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Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.

Data and rates used were indicative of market conditions as of the date shown and compiled by Briefing.com. Opinions, estimates, forecasts, and statements of financial market trends are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. References to specific securities, asset classes and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute a solicitation, offer, or recommendation to purchase or sell a security. S&P 500 Index is a market index generally considered representative of the stock market as a whole. The index focuses on the large-cap segment of the U.S. equities market. Each company’s security affects the index in proportion to its market value. NASDAQ Composite Index is a market value-weighted index that measures all NASDAQ domestic and non-U.S. based common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock market. Dow Jones Industrial Average is a widely used indicator of the overall condition of the stock market, a price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue chip stocks, primarily industrials, but also includes financial, leisure and other service-oriented firms. Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the smallest 2,000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index of the 3,000 largest U.S. companies in terms of market capitalization. MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets.

Park Avenue Securities LLC (PAS) is a wholly owned subsidiary of The Guardian Life Insurance Company of America (Guardian). PAS is a registered broker/dealer offering competitive investment products, as well as a registered investment advisor offering financial planning and investment advisory services. PAS is a member of FINRA and SIPC.

2024-170463 (Exp. 6/24)

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