PAS Weekly Commentary

Stock Market Recovers Some Losses this Week

The S&P 500 advanced 1.9% this week, recouping some losses from the prior week. The Nasdaq Composite outperformed again with a 3.7% gain, followed by the Russell 2000 (+2.2%) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (+1.0%).

Eight of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished the week with gains, including the health care (+3.1%), information technology (+2.8%), consumer staples (+2.4%), and consumer discretionary (+2.3%) sectors. The utilities (-2.4%), energy (-1.0%), and real estate (-0.8%) sectors closed lower.

The week started with stocks extending last week's sharp pullback, but investors quickly started buying the dip, accentuated by the Fed announcing on Monday that it will start buying individual corporate bonds through its Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility.

Risk sentiment was later buoyed after retail sales rebounded 17.7% m/m in May (Briefing.com consensus 9.0%), Bloomberg reported that President Trump was preparing a $1 trillion infrastructure proposal, and the BBC reported on a steroidal treatment for COVID-19 in the UK that reduced deaths in severely ill patients.

The reopening narrative was back in play, evidenced by the 10% gain in WTI crude futures ($39.74/bbl, $3.50, +9.7%), but it did run into some resistance at the end of the week.

Boston Fed President Rosengren warned that economic rebound in the second half of the year will likely be slower than initially expected due to the continued spread of the coronavirus. Arizona, Florida, and California reported noticeable daily increases in coronavirus cases, and it was reported that Apple (AAPL) will temporarily re-close some stores again due to COVID risks.

In other developments, initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13 remained elevated at 1.508 million (Briefing.com consensus 1.350 million), and Fed Chair Powell provided his semiannual monetary policy testimony before Congress this week. Mr. Powell reminded lawmakers of their spending powers, reiterating they should do more to support the economy.

U.S. Treasuries traded in a relatively narrow range this week and closed near their starting positions. The 2-yr yield increased one basis point to 0.19%, and the 10-yr yield was flat at 0.70%. The U.S. Dollar Index gained 0.4% to 97.67.

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As the situation surrounding coronavirus COVID-19 and its impact continues to evolve, keeping you informed is an important priority for us. We are coordinating with experts to bring you complimentary webinars about the impact of coronavirus COVID-19.

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Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.

Data and rates used were indicative of market conditions as of the date shown and compiled by Briefing.com. Opinions, estimates, forecasts, and statements of financial market trends are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. References to specific securities, asset classes and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute a solicitation, offer, or recommendation to purchase or sell a security. S&P 500 Index is a market index generally considered representative of the stock market as a whole. The index focuses on the large-cap segment of the U.S. equities market. Each company’s security affects the index in proportion to its market value. NASDAQ Composite Index is a market value-weighted index that measures all NASDAQ domestic and non-U.S. based common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock market. Dow Jones Industrial Average is a widely used indicator of the overall condition of the stock market, a price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue chip stocks, primarily industrials, but also includes financial, leisure and other service-oriented firms. Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the smallest 2,000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index of the 3,000 largest U.S. companies in terms of market capitalization. MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets.

Park Avenue Securities LLC (PAS) is a wholly owned subsidiary of The Guardian Life Insurance Company of America (Guardian). PAS is a registered broker/dealer offering competitive investment products, as well as a registered investment advisor offering financial planning and investment advisory services. PAS is a member of FINRA and SIPC.

2020-104006 (Exp 9/20)

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