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Mega-cap weakness and AI disruption fears outweigh rotational strength

Stocks started the week on a mostly positive note but ended with the major averages posting weekly losses amid persistent pressure on mega-cap and tech names.

The S&P 500 (-1.4%) and Nasdaq Composite (-2.1%) lagged, while the DJIA (-1.2%) also retreated. Strength in the broader market saw the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index (+1.0%) handily outperform the major averages. Smaller-cap indexes also outperformed, with the Russell 2000 (-0.9%) and S&P Mid Cap 400 (-0.7%) showing relative resilience, reflecting broader participation beyond mega-cap leadership.

The week was defined by a familiar tug-of-war: AI disruption fears and software weakness weighed on the information technology sector and other mega-cap tech names, while defensive sectors and smaller cyclical components showed pockets of strength. Mega-cap names like Microsoft, NVIDIA, Apple, and Amazon faced repeated pressure, though select software and chip names rebounded midweek. Conversely, the utilities (+7.1%), real estate (+3.9%), and energy (+1.7%) sectors led sector gains, highlighting a defensive rotation amid uncertainty.

Economic data provided mixed signals for monetary policy. The January jobs report was encouraging, with payrolls rising 130K and moderate wage growth, suggesting continued strength in the labor market. At the same time, January CPI showed cooler-than-expected inflation at 0.2% headline and 0.3% core, signaling some disinflation. Together, these reports largely canceled each other out at the margin, keeping rate-cut expectations for later this year in check.

Overall, the market is navigating a split environment: mega-cap tech remains under pressure, AI concerns persist, but defensive sectors, smaller-cap stocks, and cyclical pockets continue to attract rotation.

  • S&P Mid Cap 400: -0.7% week-to-date
  • Russell 2000: -0.9% week-to-date
  • DJIA: -1.2% week-to-date
  • S&P 500: -1.4% week-to-date
  • Nasdaq Composite: -2.1% week-to-date

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Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.

Data and rates used were indicative of market conditions as of the date shown and compiled by Briefing.com. Opinions, estimates, forecasts, and statements of financial market trends are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. References to specific securities, asset classes and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute a solicitation, offer, or recommendation to purchase or sell a security. S&P 500 Index is a market index generally considered representative of the stock market as a whole. The index focuses on the large-cap segment of the U.S. equities market. Each company’s security affects the index in proportion to its market value. NASDAQ Composite Index is a market value-weighted index that measures all NASDAQ domestic and non-U.S. based common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock market. Dow Jones Industrial Average is a widely used indicator of the overall condition of the stock market, a price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue chip stocks, primarily industrials, but also includes financial, leisure and other service-oriented firms. Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the smallest 2,000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index of the 3,000 largest U.S. companies in terms of market capitalization. MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets.

Park Avenue Securities LLC (PAS) is a wholly owned subsidiary of The Guardian Life Insurance Company of America (Guardian). PAS is a registered broker/dealer offering competitive investment products, as well as a registered investment advisor offering financial planning and investment advisory services. PAS is a member of FINRA and SIPC.

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8076115.35 (Exp. 5/26)

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